Bitcoin could be worth about $275,000 if it captures 1% of estimated global capital, according to Look Into Bitcoin research director Matt Crosby. He outlined the scenario in a Bitcoin Magazine interview published on October 22.
Crosby’s September 25 research put Bitcoin at around 0.3% of that estimated pool, below a previous bull-market peak near 0.49%. Reaching 1% would require more than tripling its share. Using that report’s capital estimate and circulating supply, the implied price was approximately $276,000.
His earlier capital framework includes equities, bonds, broad money, real estate and gold. The comparison measures Bitcoin’s market value against a wider pool of assets. It does not mean a matching dollar amount must enter exchanges: market capitalization and actual investment flows do not move dollar for dollar.
The projection depends on Bitcoin gaining a larger allocation relative to competing assets, alongside assumptions about the size of the global capital pool and coin supply. Those inputs can change. The calculation therefore describes a possible valuation rather than establishing a minimum price or a guaranteed timetable.
The argument comes as other analysts point to improving demand. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju recently flagged fresh capital entering Bitcoin, citing realized capitalization. That on-chain measure values coins at their last transaction price and is separate from Crosby’s global allocation framework.
Disclaimer: CoinScreamer is an independent media brand owned and operated by NuvexMedia LLC, publishing news, research, and market insights on digital assets and related technologies. NuvexMedia LLC invests in and collaborates with companies across the digital asset, blockchain, and technology sectors. These relationships do not influence CoinScreamer’s editorial coverage, and the publication maintains full editorial independence to provide accurate, timely, and objective information. © 2025 NuvexMedia LLC. All rights reserved. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered legal, tax, investment, financial, or other professional advice.
